2024 年上半年越南经济增长

2024年上半年,全球经济继续面临诸多风险和不确定性,对可持续增长产生负面影响。然而,同期越南经济保持积极趋势,增长率高于2023年同期。

257 月2024

B&Company

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In the first six months of 2024, the global economy continued to face numerous risks and uncertainties, negatively impacting sustainable growth. However, Vietnam’s economy during the same period maintained a positive trend with a growth rate higher than that of the same period in 2023.

国内生产总值增长率

Vietnam’s GDP in the first half of 2024 increased by 6.4%, higher than the 3.8% growth recorded in the first half of 2023. In the structure of value-added growth of the economy, the agriculture, forestry, and fishery sector contributed 6%; the industrial and construction sector contributed 44%; while the service sector contributed 50%.

工业生产

2024年上半年工业增加值比去年同期增加7.5%。其中,制造和加工行业发挥了关键作用,增长率为8.7%;电力生产和分配行业增长13.3%;供水和废物管理行业增长7.1%。值得注意的是,采矿业下降了7.2%。

商业活动

2024年上半年,农林渔业领域新设企业781家,比去年同期减少2.3%。工业和建筑业新设企业1.9万家,增加5.3%,服务业新设企业6.1万家,增加6.4%。但2024年上半年平均每月有近1.8万家企业退出市场,增加15.1%。

在越南注册的外商投资

2024年上半年,新批投资项目1538个,总注册资本95亿美元,比去年同期增加47%。制造加工行业是外国直接投资最多的行业,投资额68亿美元(占72%);其次是房地产行业,投资额19亿美元(占20%),其他行业投资额8.18亿美元(占9%)。2024年上半年,新加坡是最大的投资国,投资额40亿美元(占42%);其次是香港,投资额12亿美元(占12%);中国,投资额10亿美元(占11%);日本,投资额9.79亿美元(占10%)。

货物出口

In the first half of 2024, the export turnover of goods reached 190 billion USD, an increase of 14.5% compared to the same period last year. Among them, the foreign-invested sector achieved 137 billion USD (accounting for 72%), with a growth rate of 12.3%. Some sectors with export values exceeding 20 billion USD include electronics, computers, and components (increased 28.6%), phones and components (increased 11.3%), and machinery, equipment, and other spare parts (increased 16.2%). The United States is Vietnam’s largest export market, followed by China and the EU

货物进口

In the first half of 2024, the import turnover of goods reached 178 billion USD, an increase of 17% compared to the same period last year. The foreign-invested sector reached 113 billion USD (accounting for 63%), with a growth rate of 14.1%. Items with import values exceeding 20 billion USD include electronics, computers, and components (increased 26.7%) and machinery, equipment, and other spare parts (increased 14.6%). China is Vietnam’s largest import market, followed by South Korea and ASEAN.

结论

Despite many uncertainties in the global economy, Vietnam’s economy continues to grow well at 6.4%. According to forecasts from the World Bank, IMF, and ADB, Vietnam’s growth in 2024 is expected to reach between 5.5-6% (higher than Vietnam’s 5% in 2023). With positive economic growth prospects, Vietnam’s import-export and investment activities are expected to continue to increase in the coming time.

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